I'm not sure what your deal is here. If you think the author is anything other than a Climate Action Resistor (CAR). You are wrong.
This is the latest disinformation campaign by the fossil fuel interests. They admit "Climate Change is real and bad". Which sounds, so very reasonable.
Then, they use wildly optimistic estimates on the effects of climate change. To generate complete WILD ASS GUESS numbers of what the "cost of climate change" might be.
Claiming that these "expert" numbers show that "scientists don't claim damages greater than cost of switching".
Which shows you how very trustworthy and reasonable the author is. He's rational, he accepts the reality of climate change. But he's also fiscally conservative. Just like you I'm guessing.
He's not going to "give the libtards" a bunch of money to fight a problem. When it's less expensive to do nothing and focus on adaptation. It's just common sense right?
You don't spend money to fix the whole roof if it just has a few small leaks.
This whole argument is predicated on the idea that you can reasonably estimate economic losses from future climate change. It's hilarious that people who categorically reject the accuracy of climate models are going to argue that their economic models are accurate enough to shape our current policy choices.
I, on the other hand, am basing my analysis on real studies, that took real measurements, of a real characteristic of the Earth. Its Albedo.
It's simple, if the planetary albedo declines, the earth warms up.
Here's the bad news: the Earth's albedo has been declining during the last 20 years in response to the planetary warming.
Earth's Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine pub. Aug 2021
I look at the consequences of this in two papers:
Heat doesn’t “just happen”: Where it’s coming from and why that matters
Further notes on Albedo Diminishment: When I tell you it's bad, I',m being conservative.
Then, when Russia invaded Ukraine I argued that the event is signal that a "Climate Crisis" has started and that we are about to have multifocal agricultural output failures.
In Ukraine, we may be seeing the first war of the “Climate Crisis”.
Agricultural output failures of 40% are already happening.
Putin's Strategy is coming into view. If you weren't clear on it, World War III has started.
Yes, Putin does know about Climate Change, he knows a lot.
I think things are much worse than the projections.
I think we are about to find out how "off" the models were.
I am an extreme outlier right now. No one else is seeing the disaster I am predicting yet. So, I could just be a very smart "crazy person".
Here's the thing though. Which of these do you think is "false"?
That a hot El Nino is coming.
That cuts in the sulfur content of diesel fuels in shipping will cause warming over the next 3 years.
That record amounts of heat are flowing into the oceans.
That the 20 year study of the planetary albedo shows a diminishment of the Earth's albedo and an increase in the level of energy the climate system is absorbing (reflected in proxy by the amount of energy the oceans are absorbing).
Do you disagree with any of those statements?
What no one wants to say, is that these are going to combine and cause megadeaths over the next five years.
If you say that the "Climate Crisis" has started, you become a "Doomer" crazy person.
But, here we are. I'm the crazy person telling you that "life as we knew it" ends in 12–18 months. That we are "in crisis" right now, even if it is happening so slowly that it's hard to perceive.
What price that you put on that?
