Richard Crim
3 min readMay 18, 2022

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I'm evangelizing a bit here but you seem like you might want to know this.

The Future is Now

In 2021, the "Observable" Global Mean Temperature (GMT) was 1.1℃ above the 1950–1980 baseline. This happened despite it being a La Niña year in the Pacific Ocean, a weather pattern which tends to cool the planet.

It was the seventh year in a row in which global temperatures were more than 1 degree Celsius above the preindustrial average. Short of geoengineering the climate, no one alive today will ever see the world's temperature drop below that 1-degree benchmark again.

There is no going back, and we are about to have a "heatwave".

Forecasters say there's a 93 per cent chance that the five years from 2022 to 2026 will be the hottest on record.

Earth Stands '50:50' Chance Of Passing 1.5 Degrees Warming Within 5 Years - Forbes

Fifty-fifty chance' global warming hits 1.5°C by 2026, warn scientists - Euronews

There's a 50:50 chance the planet will pass the 1.5C warming threshold in the next 5 years - CNN

As 1.5C overshoot looms, a high-level commission will ask: what next? - Climate Home News

World has 50–50 chance of hitting 1.5C mark soon: U.N. - Frontline India

When will the world reach 1.5C of global heating? - The Guardian

With 1.5C of heating now all but inevitable, scientists say the focus must turn to mitigation measures.

When the IPCC says that there is a 50% chance the GMT will "temporarily" exceed 1.5℃ of warming by 2026, what exactly do they mean by that?

Because in 2021 the GMT was at 1.1℃ of warming. Climbing to 1.5℃ by 2026 means;

THEY ARE FORECASTING 0.4C OF WARMING IN JUST 4 YEARS!

Almost half a degree of warming in just 4 years!

It took about 100 years for the GMT to climb 0.4C between 1880 and 1980.

Between 1975 and 2015 the GMT increased by about 0.18C per decade.

They are forecasting an increase of 0.1C per year, for the next four years.

There are two things you should ask yourself when you read this.

1. This is a huge amount of energy being released into the climate system. Where is it coming from, what's the source of this heat?

2. What "exactly" do they mean when they say this heating will be temporary?

Because, what it looks like to me, is that they just confirmed my analysis.

In Ukraine, we are seeing the first war of the "Climate Crisis"

Additional notes on albedo diminishment, I'm actually being "conservative" when I tell you that things are bad.

Agricultural output failures of 40% are already happening.

Putin's Strategy is coming into view. If you weren't clear on it, World War III has started.

If you suggest that the war in Ukraine is related to Climate Change, people tell you Putin doesn't care about "Climate Change" - People are idiots.

This Earth Day, here's the last hope I have - A Climate Crisis state of play.

Here's the science part.

Heat doesn't "just happen" - Where it's coming from and why that matters.

Consider the Earth's Oceans, that's where all the heat goes: Global Warming is Actually "Ocean Warming"

I am forecasting 800 million to 1.5 billion deaths over the next five years.

It's a lot to read, but yeah, 800 million to 1.5 billion dead over the next 5-6 years. With all the horrors that's going to bring. Dust Bowl 2.0 in the US for sure.

This is it.

We get the rest of this year and maybe some of 23' before Dust Bowl 2.0 starts in the US and the death toll starts climbing into the hundreds of millions globally.

Good luck with bringing "trust, hope, and compassion" to other's lives while civilization melts down and millions starve. Perhaps you want to rethink the importance of the environment.

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Richard Crim
Richard Crim

Written by Richard Crim

My entire life can be described in one sentence: Things didn’t go as planned, and I’m OK with that.

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