Welcome to the very small world of Medium Climate writers. Some of the gang are already here. Before you get too fond of us, you should know we are the "misfit toys" of the Climate writers.
Except for Mike, he's a heavyweight.
The rest of us are the type who don't publish in the Climate pubs. If you are looking for more readers that's the road to take. We are "indies" who are growing our following by word-of-mouth.
Right now, I am getting attention because of three sets of columns I write.
Living in Bomb Time - It's about Climate Change
On Politics, War by Other Means - Climate Politics
The Crisis Report - The Climate Crisis has started
Here's whats getting attention.
This is my Analysis.
The first big "Climate Shock" is about to hit. In 12 to 18 months a perfect storm of warming will kick in that will last 3-5 years.
It's a 3 part storm:
1. Albedo diminishing has doubled the rate of warming in the last 7 years. It's simple, if the planetary albedo declines, the earth warms up.
Here's the bad news: the Earth's albedo has been declining during the last 20 years in response to the planetary warming.
Earth's Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine pub. Aug 2021
2. The La Nina cycle we are in will flip into an El Nino.
Another Record: Ocean Warming Continues through 2021 despite La Niña Conditions
Heat in World's Oceans More Than Ever Recorded .
Hottest ocean temperatures in history recorded last year.
3. Warming that was being masked by SOx emissions will rapidly take place due to the changes in diesel fuels in the shipping industry in 2020.
Cleaner Air in 2020: 0.5% sulfur cap for ships enters into force worldwide.
All of this will combine to push warming above 2C by 2026. The next 2-6 years are going to be insanely hot.
This is going to trigger multifocal agricultural production failures globally.
Approximately 800 million to 1 billion people are probably going to starve in this time frame.
The Climate Crisis is upon us "right now".
In Ukraine we are seeing the first war of the "Climate Crisis".
Agricultural output failures of 40% are already happening.
Putin's Strategy is coming into view. If you weren't clear on it, World War III has started.
This Earth Day, here’s the last hope I have - A Climate Crisis state of play.
Here's the science part.
Heat doesn't "just happen" - Where it's coming from and why that matters.
Additional Notes on Albedo Diminishment
It's a lot to read, but yeah, 800 million to 1.5 billion dead over the next 5-6 years. With all the horrors that's going to bring. Dust Bowl 2.0 in the US for sure.
Oh, and the oceans are dying.
I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news but this is it.
We get the rest of this year and maybe some of 23' before Dust Bowl 2.0 starts in the US and the death toll starts climbing into the hundreds of millions globally.
So, welcome to the show. If you find my comments annoying just ask me to stop. I am autistic and not always sensitive to social cues.
