The Crisis Report — 15

The Ukraine War is one year old today. China is expected to announce a “peace plan”. Here’s what the Climate is doing.

This graph shows the downward trend in Earth’s albedo, as measured by earthshine (black) and CERES data (blue) in watts per square meter. Image credit: Goode et al. (2021), Geophysical Research Letters.

The green circle is where we are right now February 2023. The “zero line” in this chart is the 1981–2010 average of global temperatures.

So.

I think I may start all of my next few articles with these two graphs. Because this is what’s driving the CLIMATE CRISIS that’s playing out in the Anthroposphere right now.

The castle in the middle represents the “Anthroposphere”. The constructed world we have built over the last 10,000 years.

The first graph shows a “dimming” or diminishment of the Earth’s planetary albedo. This was observed and recorded in two separate studies using two different methodologies. I have discussed this paper in detail.

Living in Bomb Time — 20 : Heat doesn’t “just happen”Where it’s coming from and why that matters.

Living in Bomb Time — 22 : I’m actually being “conservative” when I tell you that things are bad.

Earth’s Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine pub. Aug 2021

What’s really important to understand is this.

The two-decade decrease in earthshine-derived albedo corresponds to an increase in radiative forcing of about 0.5 W/m2, which is climatologically significant (Miller et al., 2014). For comparison, total anthropogenic forcing increased by about 0.6 W/m2 over the same period. The CERES data show an even stronger trend of decreasing global albedo over the most recent years, which has been associated to changes in the PDO, SSTs and low cloud formation changes.

AROUND 2014, GLOBAL WARMING STARTED ACCELERATING. IT JUMPED FROM 0.18C PER DECADE TO 0.36C PER DECADE.

OUR “OCEAN” IS WARMING UP TWICE AS FAST NOW.

That affects EVERYTHING.