I saw this article and have been considering it. Your write up is good. You convey the science in a clear manner and explain its significance in an easy to understand way. It''s effective climate messaging.

Here’s something to consider.

Right now we are “observing” about 1.2℃ of warming since the “late 19th century” (per GISS). Actual warming is probably about 1.8℃ when the cooling effect of our SOx emissions are factored in and accounted for.

The paleoclimate studies indicate that the last time CO2 levels were this high (approximately 400ppm) global temperatures were about 4℃ higher than now. As I noted in “It’s Raining in Antarctica and the Arctic is on Fire”.

The last time CO2 levels like this were seen on Earth, was three million years ago, according to the most detailed reconstruction of the Earth’s climate by researchers at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and published in Science Advances.

At that time, there were no ice sheets covering either Greenland or West Antarctica, and much of the East Antarctic ice sheet was gone. Beech forests were growing in Antarctica and temperatures were up to 7 degrees Fahrenheit (4.℃) warmer globally, at least double that at the poles, with sea levels some 20 meters (65 feet) higher than today.

How do you reconcile these two data points?

What the paleoclimate data indicates is that we don’t understand all of the “tipping point amplifications” of the current level of CO2. The 1.8℃ we are seeing now is just the “starting point” for the warming we are going to get.

The Equilibrium Thermal Response or, Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity, is going to be much higher. Probably around 4℃ if our reading of the paleoclimate evidence is accurate.

One of the ways we get from 1.8℃ to 4℃ may be albedo diminishment.

We might just be seeing it in “fast forward”.

Warming has started accelerating.

The Rate of Global Warming During Next 25 Years Could Be Double What it Was in the Previous 50, a Renowned Climate Scientist Warns

“We should expect the global warming rate for the quarter of a century 2015–2040 to be about double the 0.18°C/decade rate during 1970–2015 (see Fig. 2), unless appropriate countermeasures are taken.” James Hansen Aug 2021

The run up from the Transient Thermal Response to the Equilibrium Thermal Response is the interval that we can expect the "chaos weather" you describe. So, basically the rest of the century.

Here's the science behind the acceleration of warming.

Heat doesn’t “just happen” - Where it’s coming from and why that matters.

Additional notes on Albedo diminishment - I’m actually being “conservative” when I tell you that things are bad.