For anyone who is a doubter. Well you're wrong.

The UN has confirmed that we are about to get a massive temperature spike. - Now, the only question is “how hot is it going to get”?

We are about to have a “heatwave”.

Forecasters say there’s a 93% chance that the five years from 2022 to 2026 will be the hottest on record.

Earth Stands ‘50:50’ Chance Of Passing 1.5 Degrees Warming Within 5 Years — Forbes

Fifty-fifty chance’ global warming hits 1.5°C by 2026, warn scientists — Euronews

There’s a 50:50 chance the planet will pass the 1.5C warming threshold in the next 5 years — CNN

As 1.5C overshoot looms, a high-level commission will ask: what next? — Climate Home News

World has 50–50 chance of hitting 1.5C mark soon: U.N. — Frontline India

When will the world reach 1.5C of global heating? — The Guardian

When the IPCC says that there is a 50% chance the GMT will “temporarily” exceed 1.5℃ of warming by 2026, what exactly do they mean by that?

Because in 2021 the GMT was at 1.1℃ of warming.

Climbing to 1.5℃ by 2026 means.

THEY ARE FORECASTING 0.4C OF WARMING IN JUST 4 YEARS!

Almost half a degree of warming in just 4 years!

To put that in perspective.

It took about 100 years for the GMT to climb 0.4C between 1880 and 1980.

Between 1975 and 2015 the GMT increased by about 0.18C per decade.

They are forecasting an increase of 0.1C per year, for the next four years.

There are two things you should ask yourself when you read this.

This is a huge amount of energy being released into the climate system. Where is it coming from, what’s the source of this heat?

What “exactly” do they mean when they say this heating will be temporary?

Because, what it looks like to me, is that they just confirmed my analysis.

I am forecasting temps to reach 2C of warming by 2026 and a death toll of 800 million to 1.5 billion in that time frame.

If you want to understand what's happening here is the science part:

Albedo diminishing has doubled the rate of warming in the last 7 years. It’s simple, if the planetary albedo declines, the earth warms up.

Earth’s Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine pub. Aug 2021 Geophysical Research Letters.

Here's my analysis.

Heat doesn’t “just happen” - Where it’s coming from and why that matters.

Additional Notes on Albedo Diminishment - I'm actually being “conservative” when I tell you that things are bad.

Consider the Earth’s Oceans, that’s where all the heat goes - Global Warming is Actually “Ocean Warming”.

Umair is 100% on target. The Climate Crisis we all feared has come early. It's now or never.