I love an honest answer. At least you have read the piece and have the information in your head. As the world warms up you will have context for whats happening.

I have confidence you will convince yourself as events unfold.

I have written on the food issue a number of times. Here are some of my other pieces.

Living in Bomb Time — Ep. 09 - In the end it always comes down to food. July 2021

Consider the Earth’s Oceans, that’s where all the heat goes - Global Warming is Actually “Ocean Warming” that’s why they’re dying.

Here’s an example of a sudden agricultural output failure. The oat crop just crashed 40% in the US.

Putin’s Strategy is coming into view. If you weren’t clear on it, World War III has started.

This Earth Day, here’s the last hope I have.

The UN has confirmed that we are about to get a massive temperature spike - now, the only question is “how hot is it going to get”?

Things are getting very tense about the 20 million tons of grain stuck in Ukraine. Here's why.

Here's a key takeaway from the last piece.

Here’s something to consider, how much food do you think is in the global stockpiles?

To phrase it more viscerally.

How long do you think we could feed everyone on the planet if food production stopped right now for a period of one year?

In 1999 the world had a reserve big enough to feed everyone for 116 days.

By 2006 that “cushion” had fallen to 57 days.

Last year, the cushion was roughly 10 days.

Meaning, that if all the food in the world is shared equally, everyone runs out in about ten days.

Or, 1/35th of the world’s population gets all the food, and they get to survive.

About 215 million “lucky” people.

That’s how empty the cupboard has gotten.

We are still living off the proceeds of the Green Revolution, but that hit diminishing returns over twenty years ago. Now we live in a finely balanced situation where the world food supply just about meets demand, with very little left over.