Umair, I think the time has come to acknowledge that "right now" there is no FUTURE anymore.
I keep reading articles by everyone talking about how we have to change our ways. You frequently say "reimagine and reinvent". The "hopium wizards" go on and on about this breakthrough or that price trend.
All of you talking like things are going to stabilize or not get any worse. Like we can predict what things are going to be like 5, 10, 20, 50, or 100 years into the future.
THERE IS NO FUTURE ANYMORE, ONLY A BLACK SMOKEY FOG OF UNCERTAINTY AND DISASTER.
Climate Change is happening now in "fast forward". If you don't understand this basic fact then you are clueless about what's going on.
Here's what Dr. James Hansen and others state.
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity is at least ~4°C for doubled CO2 (2xCO2), with likely range 3.5-5.5°C.
Greenhouse gas (GHG) climate forcing is 4.1 W/m2 larger in 2021 than in 1750, equivalent to 2xCO2 forcing.
Global warming in the pipeline is greater than prior estimates. Eventual global warming due to today's GHG forcing alone -- after slow feedbacks operate -- is about 10°C.
Human-made aerosols are a major climate forcing, mainly via their effect on clouds. We infer from paleoclimate data that aerosol cooling offset GHG warming for several millennia as civilization developed.
A hinge-point in global warming occurred in 1970 as increased GHG warming outpaced aerosol cooling, leading to global warming of 0.18°C per decade.
Aerosol cooling is larger than estimated in the current IPCC report, but it has declined since 2010 because of aerosol reductions in China and shipping. Without unprecedented global actions to reduce GHG growth, 2010 could be another hinge point, with global warming in following decades 50-100% greater than in the prior 40 years.
Hansen states that warming since 2014 has accelerated to 0.36C/decade. That's 2C of warming in the next 60 years.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.04474
Hansen's latest "Global Warming in the pipeline" study.
In the face of that everything else is rapidly becoming meaningless. If we do not declare a "Planetary Emergency" and start an immediate program of Carbon Drawdown and Emissions Reduction. Then the next 50 years are going to be us, slagging ourselves back to a Paleolithic population level living around the Arctic Circle.
