This is my analysis. People don't usually like what I have to say, but it's numbers based. Keep that in mind. Also keep in mind, that I am a life-long Democrat who wanted Elizabeth Warren to win this time, and who thinks Obama was a terrible president.

Not because he was a "bad" president or a bad person. Because he was the wrong person for the moment.

We needed an FDR, he was a Hoover.

So, here's how the 2020 primaries reveal the factions of the Democratic Coalition. Let's start with the fact that the Democrats are a multiracial coalition party.

In the US about 66% of the votes come from White voters. This is slightly larger than the White share of the population. But Whites vote at a higher percentage than any other group except Black Women. Who vote at phenomenally high rates.

That 66% splits into 44% Republican and 22% Democrat. Two out of three White voters votes Republican. That's a political fact of life in this country.

Now, the national vote split 49% Trump, 51% Biden.

The Republicans lost just 2% of the White vote to Biden. That's it, that's how few White Republican voters couldn't stomach Trump and the QAon crazies..

This gave them 42% of the vote. They picked up 1% in Black votes and 6% in Hispanic votes. That's how they got to 49%. With about an 85% White vote.

The Democrats got a foundation of 24% from White voters. They picked up all of the other 11% of the Black vote. The other two thirds of the Hispanic vote (12%). And, basically all of the Asian-Pacific Islander-Indigenous vote (4%).

The Democrats are a multiracial coalition party.

In the primaries it became extremely clear that the Progressives and Bernites don't represent the whole party. They represent about half of the White portion of the party. Call it about 10% of the White 22% of the party.

This makes them about 20% of the party base of voters. That's not enough to win, except all of the early primaries are in states that are 90% White. Places, Progressives can win in.

The plan of all of the Progressive candidates and the Bernites was to win sweeping victories in the all White primaries. Then ride that momentum to the nomination. In a general election so polarized even a socialist would probably get all the Democratic vote, "Vote Blue no Matter Who".

Unfortunately for them, none of them could unify the Progressive vote. The Bernites are asshats who talk down to everyone who tries to reason with them. It's a very "cult of personality" group. So, they didn't get the votes they expected.

The White Progressive vote fragmented and when the primaries moved to more racially balanced states. Biden creamed them.

Because he has spent a freaking lifetime building up his network and brand with Black and Hispanic voters. They overwhelmingly rejected "Revolutionary" talk and candidates. They saw Biden as a known trusted quantity who could be counted on to settle things down.

That's how the Democratic primaries played out. Bernie, Elizabeth, and the others are experienced politicians. When they saw which way the numbers were trending they all cut deals.

Because it's always better to be in "the room where it happens" than to be on the outside.

Plus, they wanted the party to be unified. Bernie's tantrum in 16' probably cost Hillary the election.

So, that's where we are now. Nobody is happy. Everything is in gridlock. The pressure is building.