This is Going to be Bad Ep. 04

Something is Wrong with the Numbers

Nurses, Spanish Flu Pandemic 1918

One of the big problems with trying to figure out how bad Covid-19 is going to be. Is that we don’t have a clue about how many people are really infected.

Last Thursday night, around this time, there were 471,000 confirmed cases with a reported death total of 21,287 (Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center).

Tonight, there are 722,289 confirmed cases with a death toll of 33,984.

Clearly the virus is not under control.

The two big questions that need answers are.

“What is the number of undetected infected?”

and

“Why is the US mortality rate so low”?

The answers to those questions are crucial to figure out, because they will tell us what Covid-19’s true mortality rate is and, just how bad things are going to get.

So, right now there are FIVE ways to look at Covid-19’s mortality rate.

There are the: