There is so much going on with Ukraine it's hard to know where to start. The basic outline is clear.

Putin wants the land and is willing to liquidate the Ukrainians to get it.

Thanks to his nukes, he can keep the US and European powers from directly intervening.

The Ukrainians can fight Russia to a standstill, but only if they have advanced weapon systems from the US and Europeans.

The war will continue until Russia cracks (Putin dies) or the “allies” stop sending Ukraine weapons.

If global famines develop and millions of “climate refugees” try to enter Europe, almost certainly European support for Ukraine will evaporate.

Putin is waiting for the famines to start, Zelensky is trying to beat him before that happens.

The El Nino is starting.

What happens next, will shape the rest of the century.