The Crisis Report — 40

Let’s review the situation. A summary of the last two years of analysis.

Batagaika Crater in Eastern Russia. The “mouth” of the crater is about 1km or 6/10ths of a mile across. This type of crater is formed by “slumping” permafrost.

We have reached the “end of the beginning”. 2023 was the last “normal” year of our lives. The last year of the 20th Century Climate Optimum.

The Climate Crisis, or more dramatically “Collapse”, has started. It’s kicking into high gear this year. Things are almost certainly going to get a LOT worse over the next few years.

What everyone is expecting/hoping, is that the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in 2024 will drop below the highs of 2023. This is what normally happens in the second year of an El Nino. At the start of 2015 (blue dot on left) January temperatures were much lower than at the start of 2016 (red dot on left). In December this is flipped. 2016 finished much colder than 2015. Declining SST temperatures in 2016 fell below the climbing SST’s of 2015 in May of 2016 (red circle).

Because.

Warming hasn’t slowed. The amount of ENERGY going into the Climate System this year is actually greater than in 2023 so far.

In 2023 we started at +1.2°C and increased to +1.7°C by December. This year started at +1.7°C and, so far, has just dropped about -0.05°C.

So far, more ENERGY is on track to go into the Oceans this year than last year.

The ocean takes in heat from the Sun no matter what phase we are in. El Nino or La Nina doesn’t change that.

Last year the oceans took in 15ZJ of HEAT. That’s about 476,000,000 million Hiros worth. Roughly 3.4 Hiros…