So, in March when I forecast a heat spike developing with the next El Nino. I said it would start in 12-18 months. Basically mid to late 23'.
I factored the 3rd year La Nina into my forecast because Hansen's models indicated a strong likelihood of it. I was right to go with Hansen's model it was more accurate than NOAA and GISS.
What that means, is that the rest of this year and until May/June of next year the La Nina will persist. This provides a global cooling effect.
In late 23'/early 24' the El Nino pattern should start developing. 2024 is going to be the start of the heat spike. Harvests are going to be bad next year because of persistent drought.
Harvests in 24' are going to get fried in the fields.
2024 will be when the wheels start coming off. The global stockpiles will have been depleted. Dozens of countries will be restricting food exports. There will be shortages of everything. Prices will probably double again what they are now.
In the midst of that, we also get a presidential election that promises to be explosively bad. I am not optimistic.