Short Takes — 24

Albedo, La Nina, El Nino, and EEI

Fig. 1. Earth’s albedo (reflectivity, in percent), seasonality removed. From Large Cloud Feedback Confirms High Climate Sensitivity 2025

Mainstream Climate Science is starting to acknowledge that “Houston we have a problem”.

Which means that in 18 to 36 months the general public is going to become aware just how BAD things are going to get.

The SIGNS are “adding up”.

Earth’s Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades — First published: 10 May 2025 https://doi.org/10.1029/2024AV001636

Figure 1 : Annual global mean energy imbalance observed from space during 2001–2024. The imbalance is derived from the CERES-EBAF Edition 4.2.1 data set (Loeb et al., 2018). The blue line shows the linear trend over the 2001–2024 period when full annual means are available. Gray shading shows years affected by major El Niño events.

Abstract

Global warming results from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which upset the delicate balance between the incoming sunlight, and the reflected and emitted radiation from Earth.

Incoming sunlight supplies ALL of the ENERGY in the Earth’s Climate System. At its most basic the EEI represents the difference between the incoming ENERGY from the Sun minus the ENERGY radiating away from the Earth back into space. If the EEI is positive the Earth warms up, if the EEI is negative the Earth cools down.

The imbalance leads to energy accumulation in the atmosphere, oceans and land, and melting of the cryosphere, resulting in increasing temperatures, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather around the globe. Despite the fundamental role of the energy imbalance in…