Living in Bomb Time — 25
Specifically, let’s talk about why “Climate Science” was 30–40 years off on how fast the planet would warm up.
Because that’s the most important thing to take away from this Summer of Warming. That it's here 30–40 years early.
Because the ONLY way that can happen, is if we seriously underestimated the effect of CO2 on the Global Mean Temperature.
That’s what this means. It’s a “reality check” on our Climate Models and it’s obvious they are flawed. They understate the warming effect of CO2, probably by about 40%.
How can I be so confident about that estimate?
Because that’s how much “extra heat” we found in the oceans when we systematically started measuring them down to 2000m using the ARGO float system. We underestimated the amount of heat in the oceans by 40%, which implicitly means that we underestimated the effects of CO2 by 40%.
Here’s the takeaway I want you to remember. I’m going to yell because so few people seem to be grasping this.
OUR FUCKING CLIMATE MODELS ARE FLAWED, WE ARE WARMING MUCH FASTER THAN PROJECTED. THIS IS THE NOW OR NEVER MOMENT.
If you were in doubt about what’s happening with the Climate here’s another reality check on the models. The paleoclimate record that has been painstakingly constructed over the last sixty years.
We know exactly what the climate was like for the last 800,000 years because we have a high resolution climate record in the Greenland ice sheet. So we know with 100% certainty that CO2 levels for the last 800 thousand years have fluctuated between 180ppm and 280ppm. A range of about 100ppm.