I want to believe we are turning a corner but I find myself unconvinced. You are clearly trying to write an upbeat article. But you are really cherry picking your facts and putting a positive spin on them.
Let's look at your China example. You report China's emissions falling 8% in the second quarter of 2022. That drop wasn't from carbon cutting efforts. That was from rivers running dry and factories shutting down to save energy.
That 8% drop represents catastrophic Climate Change happening right now. That's stuff, like solar panels and lithium batteries not getting made. That 8% drop is the supply chain getting even weaker.
I wouldn't cheer over that 8%. Just a return to normal will cause it to vanish. China is cutting emissions but 2050 is to late.
That's what you aren't getting yet. We misunderstood the climate system from the beginning and now we are about to get 2C of additional warming over the next 60 years.
Don't think so?
Consider why you don't think so. Then consider these data points.
The rate of warming has increased to 0.36C per decade. This accelerated rate of warming happened around 2015. James Hansen at Columbia is forecasting this rate of warming to persist until the equilibrium warming level is reached.
In 1850 the CO2 level was at 280ppm. It has increased to 420ppm. How much warming does this represent?
Consider that for the last 3 million years the CO2 level only fluctuated between 180ppm and 280ppm. A range of just 100ppm.
That 100ppm range causes 6.0C of warming.
Now why do you think 140ppm of CO2 is going to cause less than 4C of warming? Who told you it would.
The paleoclimate studies from 60 years of paleoclimate research. Show that the last time the CO2 levels were this high, the Earth was 4C warmer and aspen forests were growing in Antarctica.
We have already baked in 4C of warming. Now the only question is how fast it happens.
At 0.36C of warming per decade it won't take long.
We are finally starting to get our act together but it's too late. The Ukraine War is a signal that Collapse is starting. Cascade failure has begun.
Do you really think it can be reversed at this point. That the sandpile can be shored up and the avalanche stopped?