I appreciate your desire for this solution. Your intense longing for it. But, you are leaving out important considerations. You are creating a narrative that this is under control. When it is most emphatically not.

The most important consideration is the rapidly warming temperature. The change in the rate of warming.

Between 1850-1975 it averaged about 0.08C/decade.

Between 1975-2015 it averaged about 0.18C/per decade.

It is now 0.36C/decade.

Even if we de-carbonize completely overnight. That rate of warming will continue until Thermal Equilibrium is reached.

At about 4.5C of warming in 2080.

Because that's what 60 years of paleoclimate research indicates the Earth's temperature goes to when CO2 levels are at 420ppm.

Do you really think the supply chain is going to survive that level of rapid warming?

You are making the same mistake of the modelers just in reverse. They assumed prices wouldn't change. You are assuming that SUPPLY will infinitely grow to meet DEMAND.

What if cannot? What if supply turns out to be INELASTIC and cannot grow to support demand. Prices on PV will soar and suddenly fossil fuels are 'cheap' again.

This is hardly a "sure thing" because of economics.

You also make no mention of the need for "rare earth" metals necessary for the great electrification. As the name implies they are "rare".

You seem to assume that they will just materialize because we want them to. Or that if we "look harder" we will find more.

Right now we are burning through the low hanging fruit. How long will this condition last. Who knows?

Not David Wallace Wells, whose weekly column in the NYT I regularly read.

Because here's something else you aren't mentioning. In order to build the "electric utopia" you describe we have to build at least X3 the existing generation capacity.

1X for Current Usage

2X for EV's if "everyone gets a car"

3X for Cooling because it's getting hotter and we are all going to need AC.

Want to go further?

How about aviation. Think we can do 4X so that everyone can still go on their "vaykays"?

5X for industries like cement and fertilizer and steel.

That's a LOT of solar panels to make in the next 10 years.

Plus, you are only talking about the US. Does the rest of the world get this electric utopia as well. Or are they supposed to wait their turn and not industrialize, so that we can go first?

Or were you just not thinking about them?

Because if they burn fossil fuels your electrification plans won't matter.

If we don't do this together, we will all burn together.